You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. So what's the probability of your being born? Step 2. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. I think that was exactly Msgr. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. But Im not mathy. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Are they gross exaggerations? A donut with no hole, is a Danish. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Why? Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. So far, so good. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. June 5. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Something was dropped and then picked up. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Which ones bigger? We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Think of yourself as dead. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? On one try. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. But let's think about this some more. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. xx, Lets be social! So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Why? Step 1. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. They agree to within a factor of two! Wowser. Are You a Miracle? So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. Me neither. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. One in 2,000. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Step 1. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Step 3. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Thank you, Monsignor. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. What are the odds of that? Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. But lets think about this some more. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Yet here we are. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Please pass this post along. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Step 1. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. The chances that they would then get knocked up? Step 2. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Step 4. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. In other words, as this infographic figures it,.

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